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Sunday’s NFL Wild Card schedule action gets underway with a marquee AFC matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and Baltimore Ravens. Baltimore’s 22-10 victory at Los Angeles in Week 16 helped propel the Ravens to the AFC North title, and this time around, John Harbaugh and company are 2.5-point home favorites in the latest Chargers vs. Ravens odds. The Over-Under is 42 as two of the hottest AFC teams are set to meet up on Wild Card Weekend. Both teams have nearly identical records against the spread and similar point differentials, so before making any Chargers vs. Ravens picks of your own, be sure to check out the NFL Playoff predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The advanced computer model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. SportsLine’s proprietary computer model went 176-80 last season and beat over 95 percent of CBS Office Pool players in 2016 and ’17. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000.
The model has continued to nail its top-rated picks in 2018, entering the wild-card round on a blistering 16-6 run. For the season, it is now 30-15 on all top-rated picks, extending its two-year run to a strong 78-49. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now the model has dialed in on Chargers vs. Ravens (stream live on fuboTV). We can tell you it’s leaning over, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see it over at SportsLine.
The model has factored in that the Chargers have been road warriors this season, going 7-1 away from home. They averaged 27.8 points as visitors and won by double-digits four times. Led by Rivers, who has thrown for over 4,300 yards and 32 touchdowns, the Chargers’ offense scored 4.5 more points per game in 2018 than last season.
Los Angeles boasts one of the most imposing wideout trios in the league in Keenan Allen, Mike Williams and Tyrell Williams. Despite drawing double-teams for most of the season, Allen still broke out for nearly 1,200 receiving yards and six scores. Quick-strike threat Mike Williams led the Chargers with 10 receiving touchdowns, while Tyrell Williams netted nearly 16 yards a grab and found the end zone five times.
But just because the Chargers come in hot doesn’t mean they’ll be able to cover the NFL wild-card spread.
The model also knows the Ravens enter Sunday’s NFL Playoff schedule brimming with confidence after securing their first AFC North title since 2012. Baltimore is led by quarterback Lamar Jackson, who is set to become the youngest quarterback in NFL history to start a playoff game at age 21.
The dynamic dual-threat quarterback has run the ball an unprecedented number of times for a QB. In fact, Jackson set the record for most rushing attempts (147) by a quarterback in a season despite not starting his first game until Week 11. He’s been extremely effective as a runner as well, entering the 2019 NFL Playoffs averaging almost five yards per carry while scoring five touchdowns.
However, it was Jackson’s arm that led the Ravens to their Week 16 victory over the Chargers. The rookie signal caller completed 12-of-22 passes for 204 yards and a touchdown in that game, his highest passing total of the season.